Politica internationalaSiria

Autismul geopolitic la români

In timp ce analiștii politici cu creier de gandac rătăcit in ureche înfierbântă poporul cu cel mai cosmic subiect cum ar fi asa-zisul război dintre bande (n. trad. cacealmaua Firea-Dragnea) sau ordonanțe care dezbat sensibilele metafizici ale pseudopoliticii dâmbovițene, lumea stă pe o margine de prăpastie. La Idlib, in Siria, se hotărăște în curând,soarta lumii, in a way or another. Evident ca vagabonzii amatori aleși de lasfierbinteni sa le netezească drumul spre prăpastie si neant nu au auzit vreodată cum să pregătești o țară pentru worst case scenarios. Va recomand lectura de mai jos:

September 9, 2018


FROM: Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity

SUBJECT: Moscow Has Upped the Ante in Syria

Mr. President:

We are concerned that you may not have been adequately briefed on the upsurge of hostilities in northwestern Syria, where Syrian armed forces with Russian support have launched a full-out campaign to take back the al-Nusra/al-Qaeda/ISIS-infested province of Idlib. The Syrians will almost certainly succeed, as they did in late 2016 in Aleppo. As in Aleppo, it will mean unspeakable carnage, unless someone finally tells the insurgents theirs is a lost cause.

That someone is you. The Israelis, Saudis, and others who want unrest to endure are egging on the insurgents, assuring them that you, Mr. President, will use US forces to protect the insurgents in Idlib, and perhaps also rain hell down on Damascus. We believe that your senior advisers are encouraging the insurgents to think in those terms, and that your most senior aides are taking credit for your recent policy shift from troop withdrawal from Syria to indefinite war.

Big Difference This Time

Russian missile-armed naval and air units are now deployed in unprecedented numbers to engage those tempted to interfere with Syrian and Russian forces trying to clean out the terrorists from Idlib. We assume you have been briefed on that — at least to some extent. More important, we know that your advisers tend to be dangerously dismissive of Russian capabilities and intentions.

We do not want you to be surprised when the Russians start firing their missiles. The prospect of direct Russian-U.S. hostilities in Syria is at an all-time high. We are not sure you realize that.

The situation is even more volatile because Kremlin leaders are not sure who is calling the shots in Washington. This is not the first time that President Putin has encountered such uncertainty (see brief Appendix below). This is, however, the first time that Russian forces have deployed in such numbers into the area, ready to do battle. The stakes are very high.

We hope that John Bolton has given you an accurate description of his acerbic talks with his Russian counterpart in Geneva a few weeks ago. In our view, it is a safe bet that the Kremlin is uncertain whether Bolton faithfully speaks in your stead, or speaks INSTEAD of you.

The best way to assure Mr. Putin that you are in control of U.S. policy toward Syria would be for you to seek an early opportunity to speak out publicly, spelling out your intentions. If you wish wider war, Bolton has put you on the right path.

If you wish to cool things down, you may wish to consider what might be called a pre-emptive ceasefire. By that we mean a public commitment by the Presidents of the U.S. and Russia to strengthen procedures to preclude an open clash between U.S. and Russian armed forces. We believe that, in present circumstances, this kind of extraordinary step is now required to head off wider war.

For the VIPS Steering Group, signed:

Philip Giraldi, CIA Operations Officer (retired)

James George Jatras, former U.S. diplomat and former foreign policy adviser to Senate Republican leadership (Associate VIPS)

Michael S. Kearns, Captain, U.S. Air Force, Intelligence Officer, and former Master SERE Instructor (retired)

John Kiriakou, Former CIA Counterterrorism Officer and Former Senior Investigator, Senate Foreign Relations Committee

Edward Loomis, NSA Cryptologic Computer Scientist (ret.)

Ray McGovern, Army/Infantry Intelligence Officer and CIA Presidential Briefer (retired)

Elizabeth Murray, Deputy National Intelligence Officer for the Near East, National Intelligence Council (retired)

Todd E. Pierce, MAJ, US Army Judge Advocate (ret.)

Ann Wright, retired U.S. Army reserve colonel and former U.S. diplomat who resigned in 2003 in opposition to the Iraq War

Politica internationalarazboiRusiaSiria


Nu Siria e tinta. Nici Iranul. Ci Rusia. „Oamenii aia” au inteles in sfirsit, dupa secole, un lucru: pt a avea hegemonie mondiala trebuie intii sa invingi Rusia. Si au invatat sa Rusia nu poate fi invinsa in … Rusia, pe propriul ei teritoriu, niciodata. Si atunci, care e SINGURA solutie? Sa ii scoti pe rusi din Rusia, doar asa ii poti invinge, in cele din urma. Si sa faci lucruile in asa fel, sa le impingi asa dramatic, incit sa iasa musai, sa plece in alta parte. Adica Siria, Iran…Turcia, Grecia, ceva trebuie sa mearga, pina la urma, isi vor depasi prudenta, reflexele de urs si de protectie si vor iesi. Si atunci ii lovesti!!!

In ce priveste Romania, lucrurile abia atunci devin interesante, pina atunci sunt jocuri geopolitice stationare,desi intense (ca si actuala criza politica de la Buc).

Restul sunt glume si reclame TV. 😛

Cine sunt „Oamenii aia”? Aici raspundeti voi, deja trebuia sa fi stiut pina acum,daca mai cititi din cind in cind acest blog. 🙂


UPDATE:  Si China, of course. 🙂